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Assessing the scale of biodiversity collapse

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The term ‘collapse’ does not mean that all life is disappearing simultaneously. It refers to a series of rapid and far-reaching declines, observed at several levels: the destruction and fragmentation of habitats, declining populations, an increased risk of extinction, the erosion of genetic diversity and the disruption of ecological interactions. No single indicator can, on its own, capture all these changes.

1. Transformed habitats, declining populations

Project-connectivity-landscape
Figure 1. Direct and indirect effects of a development project on the functional connectivity of the landscape. [Source: Designed by Céline Clauzel, produced by Jordan Biets, Géoconfluences, 2022, licensed under a Creative Commons license, authors attribution, share under the same conditions, non-commercial use]
According to the IPBES global assessment, around 75 per cent of land areas have been significantly altered by human activities, whilst a large proportion of marine environments are experiencing increasing cumulative impacts. Furthermore, more than 85 per cent of the wetlands that existed around 1700 had disappeared by 2000. In major terrestrial habitats, the average abundance of species originally present is estimated to have declined by at least 20 per cent, mainly since the beginning of the 20th century [1].

Habitat fragmentation also reduces connectivity, isolating certain populations and limiting movement or genetic exchange between them (Figure 1).

These global trends are confirmed by numerous field monitoring studies. In 63 German protected areas, the biomass of captured flying insects declined by more than 75 per cent between 1989 and 2016 [2]. In North America, bird populations are estimated to have lost nearly three billion individuals between 1970 and 2017, representing approximately 29 per cent of their total numbers [3]. In metropolitan France, the abundance of common specialist birds declined by 31 per cent between 1989 and 2023 [4].

Globally, the Living Planet Index indicates an average 73 per cent decline in the relative abundance of monitored vertebrate populations between 1970 and 2020 [5]. This figure does not mean that 73 per cent of individual animals have disappeared: it summarises widely varying trends, with some populations declining sharply whilst others remain stable or are increasing.

2. Decline often precedes extinction

Figure 2. An ecosystem in transition. Bleached branching corals in the foreground and non-bleached corals in the background, in the Keppel Islands on the Australian Great Barrier Reef. Under thermal stress, corals expel the symbiotic algae that provide them with part of their energy. Repeated episodes can lead to their death and profoundly alter the composition and functioning of the reef. [Photo source © Acropora, Wikimedia Commons, CC BY 3.0 licence].
A species may survive whilst becoming rare and disappearing from a large part of its range. Such population declines can alter ecosystem functioning long before a species becomes extinct. The decline in pollinators, seed dispersers, predators or decomposers can thus disrupt plant reproduction, food webs and the recycling of matter. An ecosystem may therefore retain a large proportion of its species but lose certain essential interactions whilst its capacity to regenerate or recover after a disturbance diminishes.

IPBES estimates that around one million animal and plant species are threatened with extinction [1], many of which may become extinct over the coming decades if pressures continue. Among the groups for which sufficient assessments have been carried out, the IUCN Red List estimates that around 41 per cent of amphibians, 44 per cent of reef-building corals (Figure 2), 34 per cent of conifers and 26 per cent of mammals are threatened [6]. However, very little is known about the status of many invertebrates, fungi and microorganisms.

3. Losses that are sometimes invisible

The number of species present in a given location may remain stable whilst their composition changes profoundly. Specialised species may be replaced by more generalist species, sometimes the same ones from one region to another: this is referred to as biotic homogenisation. Certain generalist or introduced species may become more widespread in transformed habitats, without necessarily compensating for the decline of specialised species, unique evolutionary lineages or specific ecological functions.

This phenomenon is observed in many habitats, but it is not universal. A recent comprehensive review shows that human pressures profoundly alter community composition and reduce local diversity, but does not reveal a universal trend towards homogenisation: responses vary depending on the pressures, the organisms and the scales studied [7].

Figure 3. The main causes of biodiversity decline. Changes in land and marine use, the direct exploitation of organisms, climate change, pollution and invasive alien species — plant, animal (including insect) or microbial — interact and can mutually reinforce their effects. These pressures lead to habitat degradation, population decline, species extinction, the erosion of genetic diversity and the disruption of ecological interactions. [Source: diagram by the author, created with the assistance of ChatGPT.]
Genetic diversity is also eroded when populations become small and isolated. Their ability to adapt to diseases, climate change or new environmental conditions may then be reduced.

The main causes of these declines are well known: changes in land and marine use, direct exploitation of organisms, climate change, pollution and invasive alien species (Figure 3). They often interact and reinforce each other’s effects.

However, this trajectory is not irreversible. A synthesis of 186 studies, comprising 665 comparisons, shows that conservation actions have improved the state of biodiversity or slowed its decline in around two-thirds of the cases studied [8]. Their effectiveness, however, depends on their scale, duration and the simultaneous reduction of the pressures causing the declines.

4. Encyclopedia articles classified by the five direct drivers of biodiversity loss

Preliminary remark : this list was established on september 1, 2026

4.1 Changes in land and sea use

Core articles

Supporting articles from other sections

4.2 Direct exploitation of organisms

Core articles

Economic, social and health perspectives

4.3 Climate change

Core biodiversity articles

Other sections

4.4 Pollution

Water and marine pollution

Soil and agricultural pollution

Air pollution

Health and societal perspectives

4.5 Invasive alien species

Core articles

Complementary articles from other sections

4.6 Cross-cutting articles

These should not be placed in only one category:


References & notes

[1] IPBES (2019). Global assessment report on biodiversity and ecosystem services of the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (pp. 1–1082). Brondízio, E. S., Settele, J., Díaz, S., and Ngo, H. T. (eds). IPBES Secretariat, Bonn, Germany. Source

[2] Hallmann CA, Sorg M, Jongejans E, Siepel H, Hofland N, Schwan H, et al. (2017). A decline of more than 75 per cent over 27 years in total flying insect biomass in protected areas. PLoS ONE 12(10): e0185809. Source

[3] Rosenberg et al. (2019). Decline of the North American avifauna. Science, 366(6461), 120–124. Source

[4] Status of common bird populations in France, 2024, SDES statistics, Source

[5] Living Planet Index, Technical Report 2024, Source

[6] IUCN. 2026. The IUCN Red List of Threatened Species. Version 2026-1. Source Accessed on 28 August 2026.

[7] Keck, F., Peller, T., Alther, R. et al. (2025). The global human impact on biodiversity. Nature 641, 395–400. Source

[8] Langhammer et al. (2024) The positive impact of conservation action. Science, 384, 453–458. Source