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Assessing the scale of biodiversity collapse

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The term ‘collapse’ does not mean that all life is disappearing simultaneously. It refers to a series of rapid, large-scale declines observed at several levels: habitat destruction and fragmentation, population decline, increased extinction risk, erosion of genetic diversity and disruption of ecological interactions. No single indicator can capture all these changes on its own..

1. Transformed habitats and declining populations

Project-connectivity-landscape
Figure 1. Direct and indirect effects of a development project on the functional connectivity of the landscape. [Source: designed by Céline Clauzel and produced by Jordan Biets, Géoconfluences, 2022; Creative Commons licence: attribution, share alike, non-commercial use.]
According to the IPBES Global Assessment, around 75% of the Earth’s land surface has been significantly altered by human activities, while a large proportion of marine environments is experiencing increasing cumulative impacts. More than 85% of the wetlands that existed around 1700 had also disappeared by 2000. Across major terrestrial habitats, the average abundance of originally occurring species is estimated to have declined by at least 20%, mainly since the beginning of the 20th century [1].

Habitat fragmentation also reduces connectivity, isolating some populations and limiting movement or genetic exchange between them (Figure 1).

These differences can be seen in field monitoring studies (Table 1). In 63 protected areas in Germany, the biomass of flying insects caught in traps declined by 76% between 1989 and 2016 [2]. This does not mean that 76% of insects or insect species disappeared.

In North America, the decline was estimated from the number of individuals: bird populations lost nearly three billion individuals between 1970 and 2017, representing approximately 29% of their total abundance [3]. This therefore does not mean that 29% of bird species disappeared. In metropolitan France, the abundance of common specialist birds declined by 31% between 1989 and 2023 [4].

The Living Planet Index uses yet another measure: it summarises the average change in the relative abundance of monitored vertebrate populations. Its 73% decline between 1970 and 2020 therefore means neither that 73% of vertebrates disappeared nor that the total number of vertebrate individuals worldwide declined by exactly this proportion [5].

Table 1. Different measures used to assess biodiversity decline. Published percentages may describe a decline in biomass, in the number of individuals or in the average abundance of populations, or the proportion of species threatened with extinction. They are therefore not directly comparable and do not necessarily indicate a loss of species. Sources: Hallmann et al. (2017) [2]; Rosenberg et al. (2019) [3]; SDES–OFB–Vigie-Nature (2024) [4]; Living Planet Index (2024) [5]; IUCN Red List (2026) [6].

2. Decline often precedes extinction

Figure 2. An ecosystem in transition. Bleached branching corals in the foreground and non-bleached corals in the background, in the Keppel Islands on the Australian Great Barrier Reef. Under thermal stress, corals expel the symbiotic algae that provide them with part of their energy. Repeated episodes can lead to their death and profoundly alter the composition and functioning of the reef. [Photo source © Acropora, Wikimedia Commons, CC BY 3.0 licence].
A species may survive whilst becoming rare and disappearing from a large part of its range. Such population declines can alter ecosystem functioning long before a species becomes extinct. The decline in pollinators, seed dispersers, predators or decomposers can thus disrupt plant reproduction, food webs and the recycling of matter. An ecosystem may therefore retain a large proportion of its species but lose certain essential interactions whilst its capacity to regenerate or recover after a disturbance diminishes.

IPBES estimates that around one million animal and plant species are threatened with extinction [1], many of which may become extinct over the coming decades if pressures continue. Among the groups for which sufficient assessments have been carried out, the IUCN Red List estimates that around 41 per cent of amphibians (Table 1), 44 per cent of reef-building corals (Figure 2), 34 per cent of conifers and 26 per cent of mammals are threatened [6]. However, very little is known about the status of many invertebrates, fungi and microorganisms.

3. Losses that are sometimes invisible

The number of species present in a given location may remain stable whilst their composition changes profoundly. Specialised species may be replaced by more generalist species, sometimes the same ones from one region to another: this is referred to as biotic homogenisation. Certain generalist or introduced species may become more widespread in transformed habitats, without necessarily compensating for the decline of specialised species, unique evolutionary lineages or specific ecological functions.

This phenomenon is observed in many habitats, but it is not universal. A recent comprehensive review shows that human pressures profoundly alter community composition and reduce local diversity, but does not reveal a universal trend towards homogenisation: responses vary depending on the pressures, the organisms and the scales studied [7].

Figure 3. The main causes of biodiversity decline. Changes in land and marine use, the direct exploitation of organisms, climate change, pollution and invasive alien species — plant, animal (including insect) or microbial — interact and can mutually reinforce their effects. These pressures lead to habitat degradation, population decline, species extinction, the erosion of genetic diversity and the disruption of ecological interactions. [Source: diagram by the author, created with the assistance of ChatGPT.]
Genetic diversity is also eroded when populations become small and isolated. Their ability to adapt to diseases, climate change or new environmental conditions may then be reduced.

The main causes of these declines are well known: changes in land and marine use, direct exploitation of organisms, climate change, pollution and invasive alien species (Figure 3). They often interact and reinforce each other’s effects.

However, this trajectory is not irreversible. A synthesis of 186 studies, comprising 665 comparisons, shows that conservation actions have improved the state of biodiversity or slowed its decline in around two-thirds of the cases studied [8]. Their effectiveness, however, depends on their scale, duration and the simultaneous reduction of the pressures causing the declines.

4. Encyclopedia articles classified by the five direct drivers of biodiversity loss

Preliminary remark : this list was established on september 1, 2026

4.1 Changes in land and sea use

Core articles

Supporting articles from other sections

4.2 Direct exploitation of organisms

Core articles

Economic, social and health perspectives

4.3 Climate change

Core biodiversity articles

Other sections

4.4 Pollution

Water and marine pollution

Soil and agricultural pollution

Air pollution

Health and societal perspectives

4.5 Invasive alien species

Core articles

Complementary articles from other sections

4.6 Cross-cutting articles

These should not be placed in only one category:


References & notes

[1] IPBES (2019). Global assessment report on biodiversity and ecosystem services of the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (pp. 1–1082). Brondízio, E. S., Settele, J., Díaz, S., and Ngo, H. T. (eds). IPBES Secretariat, Bonn, Germany. Source

[2] Hallmann CA, Sorg M, Jongejans E, Siepel H, Hofland N, Schwan H, et al. (2017). A decline of more than 75 per cent over 27 years in total flying insect biomass in protected areas. PLoS ONE 12(10): e0185809. Source

[3] Rosenberg et al. (2019). Decline of the North American avifauna. Science, 366(6461), 120–124. Source

[4] Status of common bird populations in France, 2024, SDES statistics, Source

[5] Living Planet Index, Technical Report 2024, Source

[6] IUCN. 2026. The IUCN Red List of Threatened Species. Version 2026-1. Source Accessed on 28 August 2026.

[7] Keck, F., Peller, T., Alther, R. et al. (2025). The global human impact on biodiversity. Nature 641, 395–400. Source

[8] Langhammer et al. (2024) The positive impact of conservation action. Science, 384, 453–458. Source